2017 Quarterfinal BELOWs

2017 Post-Quarterfinal BELOWs

TeamSeedBELOW
MSU31672
MTU21670
BSU11659
BGSU41568
These are the BELOW estimates after the quarterfinal round of the 2017 WCHA Playoffs

I’m as surprised as you are, but it makes sense.  Here’s why:

  1. Michigan Tech blew out Lake Superior, but LSSU was the weakest team in the tournament.
  2. Bemidji State went to three games with Northern Michigan and essentially stayed even in BELOW — they’re a team that was expected to win 70% of the time against a league-average team, which Northern Michigan was.
  3. Minnesota State played a good Alaska team and fairly well dominated them, winning by two and three goals.

I honestly wouldn’t be surprised to see Mankato win this tournament. Four of the league’s top 11 scorers wear purple.  Goaltending is still a question, but Jason Pawloski put the Nanooks to sleep on a hyuuuuuuge pilla.  As good as Angus Redmond was in his first two months, he’s never been the same since Alabama-Huntsville hung six on him in late January and has looked more medium than well-done.

I’ll be back to running numbers, but that Tech – Mankato series promises to be a treat.

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