2016-17 Week 21 BELOW
It’s important to note that Northern Michigan is the 8th seed, facing Bemidji State, but is 6th in the final 2016-17 WCHA regular season BELOW ratings. If BSU thinks that they have an easy setup for the first round, they have another think coming.
I’ll go polish the playoff model up a bit and have the projections out soon. This is the same model that I used back in September to revisit how the playoffs looked. When we look at probabilities in the projections, please re-visit that post: what we had in the 2016 playoffs, with the tournament pretty much going chalk, was still just a 1% probability. With eight teams, the probabilities are pretty wild — and FSU won with a 11% chance at the start.