2016-17 WCHA Week 21 BELOW Ratings

2016-17 Week 21 BELOW

TeamBELOWPlayoff Seeding
3-BSU16811
7-MTU16772
8-MSU16253
5-FSU15415
4-BGSU15034
9-NMU14778
2-UAF14306
6-LSSU14137
0-UAH13899
1-UAA133910
Above are the 2016-17 BELOW rankings after Week 21 of WCHA conference play (140 of 140 games played).

It’s important to note that Northern Michigan is the 8th seed, facing Bemidji State, but is 6th in the final 2016-17 WCHA regular season BELOW ratings.  If BSU thinks that they have an easy setup for the first round, they have another think coming.

I’ll go polish the playoff model up a bit and have the projections out soon.  This is the same model that I used back in September to revisit how the playoffs looked.  When we look at probabilities in the projections, please re-visit that post: what we had in the 2016 playoffs, with the tournament pretty much going chalk, was still just a 1% probability.  With eight teams, the probabilities are pretty wild — and FSU won with a 11% chance at the start.

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