2016-17 Week 17, Series 52 Prediction: Michigan Tech (1733) at Alabama-Huntsville (1364)

2016-17 Week 17, Series 52: Michigan Tech (1733) at Alabama-Huntsville (1364)

ResultProbability
MTU sweeps67.67%
MTU 4 points (W, OTL or OTW, OTW)11.57%
Splits5.64%
MTU 5 points (W, OTW)5.63%
UAH 4 points (W, OTL or OTW, OTW)0.76%
UAH Sweeps0.09%
UAH 5 points (W, OTW)0.08%

Only one 2016-17 WCHA series has had a wider starting BELOW differential than Tech-Huntsville (369): Bemidji State at Alaska-Anchorage (387).  As you’ll remember, the Seawolves won that first game by two goals.  In fact, UAA has been involved in all five of the 300+ point differential games this season, and they won three of them, two against MTU.

That said, UAH has been dreadful at home this season (1-0-1-8 in league play), and they’ve lost six straight games.  As an alumnus, I can tell you that the natives are getting restless.  The Chargers desperately need a win this weekend just to keep out of the WCHA cellar, and as you can see, ABOVE expects the worst.

If you’re curious, ABOVE expects two blowouts 13.99% of the time, all% by Tech.  The Huskies can only pick up 12 BELOW points this week because of the wide differential.  The teams would swap 60 points if the nearly-impossible happens and the Chargers sweep.

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